文献类型：期刊文献

中文题名：广东省区域物流与经济的协整关系研究

英文题名：Research on Co-integration Relationship between Regional Logistics and Economy in Guangdong Province

作者：高秀丽[1,2];王爱虎[1]

机构：[1]华南理工大学工商管理学院,广东广州510640;[2]广东海洋大学经济管理学院,广东湛江524088

年份：2011

卷号：13

期号：2

起止页码：1

中文期刊名：华南理工大学学报（社会科学版）

外文期刊名：Journal of South China University of Technology(Social Science Edition)

收录：国家哲学社会科学学术期刊数据库

基金：广东省软科学重点项目:广东科技与金融创新发展模式研究--以现代物流业为例(2010A070103001);东莞市政府招投标项目:东莞市专业批发市场及现代物流业发展规划(2010-2020)

语种：中文

中文关键词：经济增长;物流;协整;误差修正模型

外文关键词：regional logistics; co-integration relationship; error correction model

中文摘要：根据1978—2009年的广东省年度数据对区域经济增长与物流发展水平之间的关系进行研究,选取代表区域物流发展水平的三个重要指标,对广东省经济增长与物流发展之间的关系进行协整检验和Granger因果关系检验,并建立向量误差修正模型以验证短期修正效应。结果表明广东省经济增长与物流发展之间存在长期协整关系,广东省经济增长对物流产业发展有一定的促进作用,而物流产业对经济增长的促进作用还不显著。

外文摘要：The relationship between regional logistics and regional economy in Guangdong is analyzed based on the annual data from 1978 to 2009.Three factors are chosen to represent the development status of regional logistics industry.Granger causality and co-integration tests are performed to investigate the long-term co-integration relationship between Guangdong Province＇s economic growth and the development of corresponding logistics industry.Vector error correction model has been established to verify short-term revision effects.Research results indicate that there exists long-term co-integration relationship between Guangdong economic growth and logistics development.The economic growth has positive effect on the development of regional logistics industry,whereas the stimulating effect of the regional logistics industry on regional economic growth is not significant.