文献类型：期刊文献

中文题名：生态循环农业试点的农业碳减排效应

英文题名：Agricultural carbon reduction effects of the ecological circular agriculture pilot

作者：王伟[1];毛伟[1];肖华[2];张苇锟[3]

机构：[1]广东海洋大学经济学院,湛江524088;[2]广东海洋大学电子与信息工程学院,湛江524088;[3]岭南师范学院社会与公共管理学院,湛江524048

年份：2025

卷号：47

期号：6

起止页码：1341

中文期刊名：资源科学

外文期刊名：Resources Science

收录：北大核心2023、、北大核心

基金：教育部人文哲学社科青年项目(23YJC630235);广东省哲学社会科学规划项目(GD25YDXZYJ08);广东省普通高校青年创新人才类项目(2019WQNCX038)。

语种：中文

中文关键词：生态循环农业试点;农业碳减排;回归控制法;空间溢出效应;中国

外文关键词：ecological circular agriculture pilot;agricultural carbon reduction;regression control method;spatial spillover effects;China

中文摘要：【目的】如何从宏观政策层面推进农业农村减排固碳是一项备受关注的议题,生态循环农业试点作为推进农业农村现代化的重要制度设计,理应对农业碳减排产生深远影响,其影响程度和作用机制值得深入研究。【方法】基于生态循环农业试点影响农业碳排放的作用机制和空间溢出机制,以生态循环农业试点实施为准自然实验,基于2000-2021年中国31个省份的平衡面板数据,运用回归控制法、合成控制法、双重差分法和空间杜宾模型系统考察生态循环农业试点对农业碳减排的影响及空间溢出效应。【结果】(1)整体来看,生态循环农业试点显著降低了农业碳排放值,对浙江、安徽和海南3个试点省份的农业碳排放均具有显著的抑制效应,且基准结果在经过一系列稳健性检验后依然成立;(2)基于“规模-结构-技术”框架,机制检验结果显示,生态循环农业试点主要从农业经营规模、农业种植结构和农业科技进步三方面对农业碳减排产生影响;(3)空间溢出效应结果表明,生态循环农业试点对本地区与邻近地区的农业碳减排均具有显著的促进作用。【结论】生态循环农业试点助力农业减碳大有可为,且为试点推广提供了理论依据和现实支撑。建议推动农业适度规模经营、优化农业种植结构、强化农业科技和装备支撑,从而加快农业发展全面绿色转型。

外文摘要：[Objective]How to promote carbon reduction and sequestration in agriculture and rural areas from the macro policy level is a topic of great concern.As an important institutional design for promoting the modernization of agriculture and rural areas,the pilot policy of ecological circular agriculture should have a profound impact on agricultural carbon reduction.The extent of its impact and the mechanism of action deserve in-depth study.[Methods]Based on clarifying the mechanism by which the pilot policy of ecological circular agriculture affects agricultural carbon emission reduction,this paper conducts quasi-natural experiments with the pilot policy of ecological circular agriculture.Based on the balanced panel data of 31 provinces in China from 2000 to 2021,The impact of the pilot policy of ecological circular agriculture on agricultural carbon emission reduction and the spatial spillover effect were systematically investigated by using the regression control method,synthetic control method and difference-in-differences method.[Results](1)Overall,the pilot policy of ecological circular agriculture significantly reduced the value of agricultural carbon emissions and had a significant inhibitory effect on agricultural carbon emissions in the three pilot provinces of Zhejiang,Anhui and Hainan.Moreover,the benchmark results remained valid after a series of robustness tests;(2)Based on the framework of“scale-structure-technology”,the mechanism test results show that the pilot policy of ecological circular agriculture mainly has an impact on agricultural carbon emission reduction from three aspects:agricultural operation scale,agricultural planting structure and agricultural scientific and technological progress;(3)The results of the spatial spillover effect show that the pilot policy of ecological circular agriculture has a significant promoting effect on agricultural carbon reduction in this region and neighboring regions.[Conclusion]The pilot policy of ecological circular agriculture has great potential for reducing carbon emissions in agriculture and provides theoretical basis and practical support for the promotion of the pilot policy.It is suggested to promote moderate-scale agricultural operations,optimize the agricultural planting structure,and strengthen the support of agricultural science and technology and equipment,so as to accelerate the comprehensive green transformation of agricultural development.