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我国适龄劳动人口供求均衡问题研究     被引量:2

Equilibrium study of working-age population's supply and demand in China

文献类型:期刊文献

中文题名:我国适龄劳动人口供求均衡问题研究

英文题名:Equilibrium study of working-age population's supply and demand in China

作者:程彦华[1];杨新华[2]

机构:[1]广东海洋大学管理学院,广东湛江524088;[2]广东海洋大学经济学院,广东湛江524088

年份:2017

卷号:30

期号:5

起止页码:13

中文期刊名:重庆第二师范学院学报

外文期刊名:Journal of Chongqing University of Education

收录:国家哲学社会科学学术期刊数据库

语种:中文

中文关键词:适龄劳动人口;延迟退休;生育意愿;经济结构优化

外文关键词:working-age population;;delaying retirement;;fertility desire;;economic structureoptimization

中文摘要:在我国人口红利不断减少的背景下,本文分别运用灰色系统和道格拉斯函数预测适龄劳动人口的供给和需求,论证了供求缺口的存在。从生育政策、退休政策和相关配套措施,国家产业结构升级和国民家庭经济状况对人们生育意愿的影响,以及人均教育年限等方面进行了分析。提出了完善法律法规,增加劳动力供给可持续性;加大宣传力度,转变思想观念;运用各种经济手段推动延迟退休政策的实施,促进生育意愿的提高;加强教育资源投入,实现人口数量优势到质量优势的转换。以此实现适龄劳动人口供给和需求的均衡。

外文摘要:Under the circumstance of China's demographic bonus decreasing gradually,this paper uses Grey System Theory and Cobb-Douglas function respectively to predict the trend of labor supply and the employment demand,drawing a conclusion that supply-demand gap may appear around 2024.It also analyzes from three aspects:fertility policy,retirement policy and some relevant measures;the industrial structure and family economic status;the period of schooling.At last,it puts forward some solutions to achieve the balance of labor supply and demand:Firstly,relevant laws and regulations should be improved to increase the sustainability of labor supply.Secondly,step up efforts to the propaganda,and change the model of thought.What's more,make use of various economic means to promote the implementation of delay retirement age policy,and improve fertility desire.In the end,strengthen the education resources to make the transition from population quantity advantage to quality advantage.

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