文献类型：期刊文献

中文题名：中国县城城镇化发展水平时空演变及其影响因素分析

英文题名：Analysis on the spatial-temporal evolution of the urbanization development level of counties in China and its inffuencing factors

作者：温馨[1,2];高维新[2];朱金勋[2]

机构：[1]湖南农业大学公共管理与法学学院,湖南长沙410128;[2]广东海洋大学经济学院,广东湛江524088

年份：2025

卷号：46

期号：1

起止页码：56

中文期刊名：农业现代化研究

外文期刊名：Research of Agricultural Modernization

收录：北大核心2023、、北大核心

基金：国家社会科学基金社科学术社团主题学术活动资助项目(21STA016);广东省研究生教育创新项目(2023ANLK048);湖南省研究生科研创新资助项目(QL20220168)。

语种：中文

中文关键词：县城城镇化;综合承载力;发展水平;时空格局;影响因素

外文关键词：county urbanization;comprehensive bearing capacity;development level;spatial and temporal patterns;inffuencing factors

中文摘要：以县城为载体推进城镇化建设,既是新型城镇化和乡村振兴两大战略双轮驱动下的必然选择,也是内外双循环的宏观环境下激发经济发展内生活力的重大决策。本研究基于“驱动力-状态-响应”三维分析框架,构建了中国县城城镇化发展水平评价指标体系,并运用多因素综合加权法、空间自相关分析、多距离空间聚类分析和空间计量模型等方法,从时空双视角揭示中国县城城镇化发展水平、空间分布特征和影响因素。结果表明:中国县城城镇化发展水平呈现波动上升的趋势,状态子系统优于驱动力和响应子系统。空间分布上存在明显的差异性,且具有显著的空间正相关性。金融支持力度和农业机械投入对中国县城城镇化发展起到了积极推动作用。进一步分析空间溢出效应发现,农业机械投入和城乡居民人均可支配收入比对邻近地区县城城镇化发展产生了正向影响,而地形地貌则产生了负向影响。本研究主要政策启示为:应充分考虑不同地区发展的阶段性差异,通过增强子系统发展协调性、深化区域协作、完善配套支持等方式,提升县城城镇化发展质量。

外文摘要：Taking the counties as the carrier to promote urbanization is not only an inevitable choice driven by the two major strategies of new urbanization and rural revitalization,but also a major decision to stimulate the vitality of economic development in the macroenvironment of internal and external circulation.Based on the three-dimensional analysis framework of“driving force-state-response”,the evaluation indicator system for the urbanization development level of counties in China was constructed.The multi-factor comprehensive weighting method,spatial autocorrelation analysis,multi-distance spatial clustering analysis,and spatial econometric model were used to reveal the urbanization development level,spatial distribution characteristics,and inffuencing factors of China’s counties from the perspective of time and space.The results showed that the urbanization development level of counties in China presented the evolutionary characteristics of fluctuating rise,and the state subsystem was superior to the driving force subsystem and the response subsystem.There were obvious differences in spatial distribution,and there was a significant positive spatial correlation.The financial support and investment in agricultural machinery had played a positive role in promoting the urbanization development level of counties in China.After further decomposing the spatial spillover effect,it was found that the investment in agricultural machinery and the ratio of per capita disposable income of urban and rural residents had a positive impact on the urbanization development of counties in neighboring areas,while the topography had a negative impact.The main policy implications of this study are that the stage differences in development in different regions should be fully considered,and the quality of the urbanization development in counties should be improved by enhancing the coordination of subsystem development,deepening regional cooperation,and improving complementary support.