文献类型：期刊文献

中文题名：中国产业集聚是由因果循环积累导致的吗?

英文题名：Is China's Industrial Agglomeration Caused by Causal Loop Accumulation?

作者：刘彦军[1]

机构：[1]广东海洋大学经济管理学院,广东湛江524088

年份：2016

卷号：33

期号：3

起止页码：90

中文期刊名：经济经纬

外文期刊名：Economic Survey

收录：人大复印报刊资料、CSTPCD、、国家哲学社会科学学术期刊数据库、北大核心2014、CSSCI2014_2016、北大核心、CSSCI

基金：广东省哲学社会科学"十二五"规划项目(GD12XYJ04);广东海洋大学引导项目(1312079);湛江市哲学社会科学规划项目(2013Y03)

语种：中文

中文关键词：产业集聚;因果循环积累;PVAR;要素回报;要素流动

外文关键词：Industrial Agglomeration ; Causal loop Accumulation ; PVAR ; Factor Return, Factor Mobility

中文摘要：笔者基于新经济地理学的因果循环积累机制,引入产业集聚、要素回报、要素流动3个变量建立PVAR模型,通过估计结果分析、脉冲响应函数分析,对因果循环积累机制的存在性、变量间相互影响的时间维度特征进行分析验证。实证结果显示:由于市场经济体制尚不完善、政府过多干预产业集聚以及社会管理体制没有及时匹配等原因,因果循环积累过程第二个环节发生断裂,造成要素回报水平不能有效引导要素流动,从而导致因果循环积累机制在我国产业集聚过程中不能有效发挥作用。

外文摘要：This article aims to test causal loop accumulation apply to Chinese industry and summarizes the mechanism of industrial ag-glomeration causal loop accumulation of new economic geography theory, introduced agglomeration, factor returns and factor mobility toestablish PVAR model. By estimation results analysis, impulse response function analysis, this article analyzed the existence of causalmechanism of accumulation cycle, time dimension characteristic of mutual influence between variables, and it is found that as the mar-ket economic system is not perfect, too much government intervention in industrial agglomeration and social management system did notmatch and so on, the second link of process of cause and effect cycle accumulation was broken, causing the level of return cannot effec-tively guide elements factor mobility, resulting in the accumulation of the causal loop mechanism cannot play an effective role in theprocess of industrial agglomeration.