文献类型：期刊文献

中文题名：农产品国际贸易与价格变动对农民收入的影响——基于28个省域面板数据的分析

英文题名：Impact of International Trade and Price Changes of Agricultural Products on Farmers′Income:Analysis Based on Panel Data of 28 Provinces

作者：蒋重秀[1];蒋文杰[1]

机构：[1]广东海洋大学经济学院,广东湛江524000

年份：2023

卷号：17

期号：2

起止页码：82

中文期刊名：中南林业科技大学学报（社会科学版）

外文期刊名：Journal of Central South University of Forestry & Technology（Social Sciences）

收录：国家哲学社会科学学术期刊数据库

基金：广东省科技创新战略专项资金资助项目“粤西地区乡村振兴带头人的能力模型构建和配置机制创新研究——以遂城镇为例”(pdjh2022b0245)。

语种：中文

中文关键词：农产品进出口;农民收入;农产品价格;广义矩估计

外文关键词：agricultural exports and imports;farmers′incomes;agricultural producer price index;generalized method of moments estimation

中文摘要：实现农民增收是解决“三农”问题的核心,也是维护农村社会稳定、构建新发展格局的有力支撑。在对外开放新格局不断拓宽的背景下,分析农产品国际贸易与农民收入之间的关系有较大理论和现实意义。中国是农产品国际贸易大国,农产品进出口贸易会影响农民收入并以价格信号传导。以2002—2020年中国28个省(直辖市)相关数据为样本对农产品进出口额、农产品价格和农民收入三者关系进行实证分析。结果表明农产品出口可以促进农民增收,农产品进口虽然对农民收入有正向作用但存在地区异质性;农产品出口对中低收入农民群体的增收作用较大,进口则相反;价格变动是农产品国际贸易影响农民收入的中介变量。因此,建议扩大优势农产品出口并适当调节农产品进口;鼓励农户适度规模经营实现多渠道增收;保持国内农产品市场稳定并提高其市场化程度,最大限度发挥市场机制和价格信号的作用。

外文摘要：Increasing farmers′income is the core of solving the“Three Rural Issues”,and it is also a strong support for maintaining rural social stability and building a new development pattern.Under the background of the continuous expansion of the new pattern of opening up to the outside world,it is of great theoretical and practical significance to analyze the relationship between the international trade of agricultural products and farmers′income.China is a major country of international trade in agricultural products.The import and export trade of agricultural products will affect farmers′income and transmit price signals.This paper uses the relevant data of 28 provinces(municipalities directly under the central government)in China from 2002 to 2020 as a sample to empirically analyze the relationship between the import and export volume of agricultural products,the price of agricultural products and farmers′income.The study manifests that the export of agricultural products can promote farmers′income,and although the import of agricultural products has a positive effect on farmers′income,there is regional heterogeneity.The export of agricultural products has a greater effect on the income of low-and middle-income farmers,while imports are the opposite.Price changes are the intermediate transmission factors affecting farmers′income by international trade in agricultural products.Therefore,it is recommended to expand the export of advantageous agricultural products and appropriately regulate the import of agricultural products,encourage farmers to operate on an appropriate scale to achieve multi-channel income increase,maintain the stability of the domestic agricultural product market and increase its marketization,and maximize the role of market mechanisms and price signals.