文献类型：期刊文献

英文题名：Research on Operational Risk for Northwest Passage Cruise Ships Using POLARIS

作者：Ma, Long[1,2,3,4];Fan, Jiemin[1];Mou, Xiaoguang[5];Qian, Sihan[1,4,6];Xu, Jin[1,2,3,4,6];Cao, Liang[1,2,3,4];Xu, Bo[1,6];Yao, Boxi[1,6];Li, Xiaowen[2];Li, Yabin[7]

机构：[1]Guangdong Ocean Univ, Naval Architecture & Shipping Coll, Zhanjiang 524088, Peoples R China;[2]Hainan Vocat Univ Sci & Technol, Key Lab Philosophy & Social Sci Hainan Prov Hainan, Haikou 570100, Peoples R China;[3]Guangdong Ocean Univ, Guangdong Prov Engn Res Ctr Ship Intelligence & Sa, Zhanjiang 524088, Peoples R China;[4]Guangdong Ocean Univ, Guangdong Prov Key Lab Intelligent Equipment South, Zhanjiang 524088, Peoples R China;[5]Guangdong Ocean Univ, Sch Mech Engn, Zhanjiang 524088, Peoples R China;[6]Guangdong Ocean Univ, Shenzhen Inst, Shenzhen 518116, Peoples R China;[7]Qingdao Inst Shipping Dev Innovat, Qingdao 266200, Peoples R China

年份：2025

卷号：13

期号：7

外文期刊名：JOURNAL OF MARINE SCIENCE AND ENGINEERING

收录：SCI-EXPANDED(收录号：WOS:001535508900001)、、EI(收录号：20253018861988)、Scopus(收录号：2-s2.0-105011607183)、WOS

基金：This research was funded by the Scientific Research Start-up Funds of Guangdong Ocean University: Research on the Navigability of Arctic Shipping Routes Based on Sea Ice Condition Analysis, grant number 060302132106, the Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Intelligent Equipment for South China Sea Marine Ranching, grant number 080508132401, Guangdong Basic and Applied Basic Research Foundation, grant numbers 2025A1515010886, 2023A1515011212, the Special Projects in Key Fields of Ordinary Universities in Guangdong Province, grant number 2022ZDZX3005, the Shenzhen Science and Technology Program, grant number JCYJ20220530162200001, Postgraduate Education Innovation Project of Guangdong Ocean University, grant numbers 202421, 202539, 202551.

语种：英文

外文关键词：NWP; polar cruise ships; navigational risks; POLARIS; navigable windows; critical waters

外文摘要：In the context of global warming, polar tourism is developing rapidly, and the demand for polar cruise travel in the Northwest Passage continues to increase, while sea ice has long been a key factor limiting the development of polar cruise tourism. This study focuses on the operational risk of sea ice on cruise ships in the Northwest Passage (NWP), aiming to provide a scientific basis for ensuring the safety of cruise ship navigation and promoting the sustainable development of polar tourism. Based on ice data from 2015 to 2024, this study used the Polar Operational Limit Assessment Risk Indexing System (POLARIS) methodology recommended by the International Maritime Organization (IMO) to establish three scenarios for the route of ice class IC cruise ships: light ice, normal ice, and heavy ice. The navigable windows were systematically analyzed and critical waters along the route were identified. The results indicate that the navigable windows for IC ice-class cruise ships under light ice conditions are from mid-July to early December, while the navigable period under normal ice conditions is only from mid- to late September, and navigation is not possible under heavy ice conditions. The study identified Larsen Sound, Barrow Strait, Bellot Strait and Eastern Beaufort Sea as critical waters on the NWP cruise route. Among them, Larsen Sound and Eastern Beaufort Sea have a more prominent impact on voyage scheduling because their navigation weeks overlap less with other waters. This study provides a new idea for the risk assessment of polar cruise ships in ice regions. The research results can provide an important reference for the safe operation of polar cruise ships in the NWP and the decision-making of relevant parties.